Two Tides of Homelessness: Can we change course from surging to receding tides?

26 August 2026

New research from the Tenancy Skills Institute reveals nearly half a million Australians could be living in at-risk tenancies, on the brink of failure in the private rental market, according to data from its 2026 research paper.

The research paper, entitled “Two Tides of Homelessness: Can we change course from surging to receding tides?”, includes data from Australasia’s only tenancy sustainment survey of property managers who collectively manage over 125,000 tenancies.

The data uncovers an alarming rise in at-risk tenancies in the last twelve months, and is gathered from 327 Australasian property managers surveyed by the Tenancy Skills Institute between March 2026 – July 2026.

It seeks to understand property managers’ valuable insights into the risk of households exiting the private rental market into homelessness and how to engage the real estate profession in early intervention to sustain tenancies.

Survey partners include the peak real estate industry bodies of REIA, REINZ, REIACT, REIQ, REISA, REINT, REIT, REIV, REIWA and real estate industry leaders of Cloudstaff, Mitchell PT and MRI Software.

Read the full report here